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2026

• Trauma at School: The Impacts of Shootings on Students’ Human Capital and Economic Outcomes (Molly Schnell, Marika Cabral, Bokyung Kim, Maya Rossin-Slater, and Hannes Schwandt, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 93, no. 1, January 2026)
• Mechanism Design for Acquisition of/Stochastic Evidence (Eddie Dekel, Elchanan Ben-Porath, and Barton L. Lipman, Theoretical Economics vol. 21, no. 1, January 2026)
• The Local Approach to Causal Inference under Network Interference (Eric Auerbach, Hongchang Guo, and Max Tabord-Meehan, Quantitative Economics vol. 17, no. 1, January 2026)
• The Role of Industrial Policy in the Renewable Energy Sector (Mar Reguant, Todd D. Gerarden, and Daniel Yi Xu, Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy vol. 27, January 2026)
• Specialist Care Improves Survival in Liver Cirrhosis: Transplant Access Matters, but Decompensation Remains a Challenge (Charles Manski, Paola Barrios, Emilya Ershtein, Yeshaya Nussbaum, Saad Hussain, Jonathan Myong, Oriana Dentici, Lisa VanWagner, Andres Duarte-Rojo, Laura Kulik, Lihui Zhao, and Daniela Ladner, American Journal of Transplantation vol. 26, no. 1, supplement 1, January 2026)
• Coping with Inductive Risk when Theories are Undetermined: Decision Making with Partial Identification (Charles Manski, January 2026)
• Bayesian Persuasion with Selective Disclosure (Harry Pei, Yifan Dai, and Drew Fudenberg, January 2026)
• How Well Do LLMs Predict Human Behavior? A Measure of their Pretrained Knowledge (Annie Liang, Wayne Gao, and Sukjin Han, January 2026)
• Ricardian Non-Equivalence (Martin Eichenbaum, Joao Guerreiro, and Jana Obradovic, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34691, January 2026)
• Fiscal Inaction as Monetary Support (George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian, and Christian K. Wolf, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34654, January 2026)
  
• Bayesian Inference in IV Regressions (Giorgio Primiceri, Domenico Giannone, and Michele Lenza, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34648, January 2026)
  
• The Value of Information for Regulatory Enforcement (Silvia Vannutelli, Elliot Ash, Maddalena Ronchi, and Elena Stella, January 2026)
  
• Equilibrium Existence in First-Price Auctions with Private Values (Wojciech Olszewski, Philip J. Reny, and Ron Siegel, Econometrica vol. 94, no. 1, January 2026)
• Selective Disclosure in Overlapping Generations (Harry Pei and Nemanja Antic, February 2026)
• How to Allocate Money? (Piotr Dworczak, American Economic Journal: Microeconomics vol. 18, no. 1, February 2026)
• Human or Machine? Assessing AI's Ability to Generate Game-Theory Questions (Benjamin Golub, Annie Liang, and Marciano Siniscalchi, February 2026)
• Tariff Changes in the U.S. from 1840-2024: A Narrative Analysis (Diego Känzig and Tamar den Besten, February 2026)
  
• Robust Trust (Piotr Dworczak and Alex Smolin, February 2026)
  
• The Economic Impacts of Rape (Abi Adams, Kristiina Huttunen, Emily Nix, and Ning Zhang, February 2026)
  
• Optimal Taxation with Rational Inattention (George-Marios Angeletos and Matias Bayas-Erazo, February 2026)
  
• Demand Estimation Without Outside Good Shares (Federico Bugni, Joel Horowitz, and Linqi Zhang, February 2026)
  
• Community Enforcement with Endogenous Records (Harry Pei, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 93, no. 2, February 2026)
  
• Complete Pass-Through in Levels (Kunal Sangani, Theoretical Economics vol. 21, no. 1, February 2026)
  
• The Macroeconomic Impact of Climate Change: Global Versus Local Temperature (Diego Känzig and Adrien Bilal, The Quarterly Journal of Economics vol. 141, no. 2, February 2026)
  
• On the Rates of Convergence of Induced Ordered Statistics and their Applications (Ivan Canay, Federico Bugni, and Deborah Kim, March 2026)
• Smart Power Limits: Designing Shortage Mechanisms for Extreme Events (Mar Reguant and Mayra Wagner, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 26-07, March 2026)
• Carbon Pricing and Inflation Expectations (Diego Känzig, Michael D. Bauer, and Glenn D. Rudebusch, April 2026)
• The Economic Impacts of Gender-Based Violence and Harassment (Abi Adams and Emily Nix, Annual Review of Economics vol. 18, April 2026)
  
• Competition and the Phillips Curve (Kiminori Matsuyama and Ippei Fujiwara, Journal of Monetary Economics vol. 159, April 2026)
• Complete Pass-Through in Levels (Kunal Sangani, The Quarterly Journal of Economics vol. 141, no. 2, May 2026)
• Algorithm Design: A Fairness-Accuracy Frontier (Annie Liang, Jay Lu, Xiaosheng Mu, and Kyohei Okumura, Journal of Political Economy vol. 134, no. 5, May 2026)
  
• Prizes and Feedback in Dynamic Contests (Jeffrey Ely, George Georgiadis, and Luis Rayo, May 2026)
• Social Risk Factors and Treatment Preferences for Patients with Breast Cancer (Charles Manski, Austin Wesevich, Liam J. Schmitt, Helena Margaret Earl, Mark J. Ratain, Adeline Delavande, and Monica Peek, Journal of Clinical Oncology vol. 44, no. 16 supplement, May 2026)
• Patient Preferences for Duration of Adjuvant Trastuzumab for HER2+ Breast Cancer (Charles Manski, Helena Margaret Earl, Liam J. Schmitt, Monica Peek, Mark J. Ratain, Adeline Delavande, and Austin Wesevich, Journal of Clinical Oncology vol. 44, no. 16 supplement, May 2026)
• The Mysterious Disappearance of Productivity Growth in U.S. Manufacturing: Was It the China Shock? (Robert Gordon and Kenneth Ryu, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings vol. 116, May 2026)
• The 1(%): Carbon Inequality, Responsibility Attribution, and Support for Climate Policies (Chiara Sotis and Liam F. Beiser-McGrath, Climatic Change vol. 179, no. 132, June 2026)
• Spectral Methods in Microeconomics (Benjamin Golub, Notices of the American Mathematical Society, June 2026)
• Expectation Conformity in Strategic Cognition (Alessandro Pavan and Jean Tirole, Centre for Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper Series no. 21685, June 2026)
• Measuring Labor Market Dynamics Around Childbirth: The Role of Parental Leave (Abi Adams, Mathias Fjællegaard Jensen, and Barbara Petrongolo, June 2026)
• Nobel Lecture: The Past and Future of Innovation: Can Progress Be Sustained? (Joel Mokyr, American Economic Review vol. 116, no. 7, July 2026)
• Post-selection Inference for Network Structure (Eric Auerbach, Jonathan Auerbach, and Sidonia McKenzie, July 2026)
• Stable Intuition and the Rise of Deliberative Prosociality in Childhood (Chiara Sotis, Francesco Margoni, Francesco Nava, Matthew R. Levy, Valerio Capraro, and Elena Nava, Nature Human Behaviour, July 2026)
• Monetary-fiscal Interactions: A Reappraisal (George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian, Christian K. Wolf, and Dalton Rongxuan Zhang, July 2026)
• Do Microenterprises Maximize Profits? A Nonrandomized Vegetable-market Experiment in India (Dean Karlan, Abhiit Baneree, Greg Fischer, Matt Lowe, and Benamin N. Roth, Center for Effective Global Action Working Paper Series no. 265, July 2026)
• The Macroeconomic Effect of Stimulus Checks: Evidence from Postwar Veterans’ Payments (Diego Känzig, Joao Guerreiro, Jonathon Hazell, and Ed Manuel, July 2026)
• Systemic Methodological Dysfunction in Statistical Research for Clinical Decisions (Charles Manski, July 2026)
• Higher-order Perturbation in Sequence Space: The Certainty Correspondence (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, Rodolfo Rigato, and Ludwig Straub, July 2026)
• On the Power Properties of Inference for Parameters with Interval Identified Sets (Federico Bugni, Mengsi Gao, Fililip Obradovic, and Amilcar Velez, July 2026)
• From Importer to Exporter: Oil Shocks and the U.S. Economy (Diego Känzig, James H. Stock, and Luca Zanotti, August 2026)
• Searchable Menus (Piotr Dworczak and Frank Yang, August 2026)
• Privacy for Sale: Anarchy, Ban, or Market? (Piotr Dworczak, Jacopo Perego, and Laura Veldkamp, August 2026)
• Energy Transitions in Regulated Markets (Mar Reguant, Gautam Gowrisankaran, and Ashley Langer, American Economic Review vol. 116, no. 8)
• Merger Effects and Antitrust Enforcement: Evidence from US Consumer Packaged Goods (Vivek Bhattacharya, Gastón Illanes, and David Stillerman, American Economic Review vol. 116, no. 8, August 2026)
• Community Engagement and Public Safety: Evidence from Crime Enforcement Targeting Immigrants (Elisa Jácome, Felipe Gonçalves, and Emily Weisburst, American Economic Review vol. 116, no. 8, August 2026)
• Pareto-improving Pricing: Why 3 is Better than 2 (Piotr Dworczak and Zi Yang Kang, August 2026)
• Manipulation Testing in Boundary Discontinuity Designs (Federico Bugni, Federico Crippa, and Daniel Restrepo, August 2026)
• Learning About Risk (Jeffrey Ely and Hershdeep Chopra, August 2026)
• The Macroeconomic Returns to School Finance Reforms: Micro-calibrated Predictions Meet Causal Evidence (Kirabo Jackson, August 2026)

2025

• The International Monetary Transmission Mechanism (Lawrence Christiano, Santiago Camara, and Hüsnü Dalgıc, NBER Macroeconomics Annual vol. 39, no.1, 2025)
• How to Allocate Money?(Piotr Dworczak, GRAPE Working Paper Series no. 70, 2025) 
• Inference with Imputed Data: The Allure of Making Stuff Up (Charles Manski, Journal of Labor Economics vol. 43, no. S1, 2025)

• A Price Theory of Price Gouging (Piotr Dworczak and Scott Duke Kominers, GRAPE Working Paper Series no. 104, 2025)

• The Gender Wage Gap in an Online Labor Market: The Cost of Interruptions (Abi Adams, Kotaro Hara, Kristy Milland, and Chris Callison-Burch,  The Review of Economics and Statistics vol. 107, no. 1, January 2025)

• Does Unilateral Decarbonization Pay For Itself? (Diego Känzig and Adrien Bilal, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33364, January 2025)

• Optimal Redistribution via Income Taxation and Market Design (Piotr Dworczak, Paweł Doligalski, Mohammad Akbarpour, and Scott Duke Kominers, working paper, January 2025)
• Artificial Intelligence Clones (Annie Liang, working paper, January 2025)
  
• Access to Digital Credit for Smallholder Farmers: Experimental Evidence from Ghana (Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, Monica Lambon-Quayefio, and Utsav Manjeer, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-3, January 2025)
• Prediction with Differential Covariate Classification: Illustrated by Racial/Ethnic Classification in Medical Risk Assessment (Charles Manski, John Mullahy, and Atheendar Venkataramani, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-4, January 2025)
• Robust Implementation with Costly Information (Harry Pei and Bruno Strulovici, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 92, no. 1, January 2025)
• What is the General Welfare? Welfare Economic Perspectives on Prosperity and Equity (Charles Manski, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33376, January 2025)

• Using Limited Trial Evidence to Credibly Choose Treatment Dosage when Efficacy and Adverse Effects Weakly Increase with Dose (Charles Manski, Epidemiology vol. 36, no. 1, January 2025)

• Why Strong Rewards in Government and Nonprofit Programs Don’t Work: A Social Heisenberg Principle (Burton Weisbrod, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-01, January 2025)
• Does Q&A Boost Engagement? Health Messaging Experiments in the U.S. and Ghana (Dean Karlan, Erika Kirgios, Susan Athey, Angela Duckworth, Michael Luca, Katherine Milkman, and Molly Offer-Westort, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-6, February 2025)
• Banks and the State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy (Martin Eichenbaum, Federico Puglisi, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt , NBER Working Paper Series no. 33523, February 2025)

• Eigenvalues in Microeconomics (Benjamin Golub, working paper, February 2025)

• Human Capital at Home: Evidence from a Randomized Evaluation in the Philippines (Dean Karlan, Noam Angrist, Sarah Kabay, Lincoln Lau, and Kevin Wong, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 24-28, February 2025)
• Incentives in K-12 Education – The Perils of Not Just Measuring Performance by Standardized Tests, but Financially Rewarding It (Burton Weisbrod, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-5, February 2025)

• Robust Monopoly Regulation (Yingni Guo and Eran Shmaya, American Economic Review vol. 115, no. 2, February 2025)

• What Is the General Welfare? Welfare Economic Perspectives (Charles Manski, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-7, February 2025)
• Community Enforcement with Endogenous Records (Harry Pei, forthcoming in The Review of Economic Studies)
• Comparative Statics with Adjustment Costs and the Le Chatelier Principle (Eddie Dekel, John Quah, and Ludvig Sinander, Econometrica vol. 93, no. 3, March 2025)
• Immigrants’ Legalization and Firms: Evidence from the 2007 EU Enlargement (Silvia Vannutelli and Vittoria Dicandia, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-13, March 2025)

• Commitment, Conflict, and Status Quo in Bargaining (Harry Pei, working paper, March 2025)

•  Revolving Door Laws and Political Selection (Silvia Vannutelli, Raymond Fisman, Jetson Leder-Luis, and Catherine M. O'Donnell, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33626, March 2025)
• Feedback Design in Dynamic Moral Hazard (Jeffrey Ely, George Georgiadis, and Luis Rayo, Econometrica vol. 93, no. 2, March 2025)
• Financial Rewards for Health Care Program Outcomes and Why They Can and Do Lead to Undesired Results (Burton Weisbrod, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-09, March 2025)
• Intergenerational Mobility of Immigrants in 15 Destination Countries (Elisa Jácome, Leah Boustan, Mathias Fjællegaard Jensen, Ran Abramitzky, Alan Manning, Santiago Pérez, Analysia Watley, Adrian Aldermon, Jaime Arellano-Bover, Olof Åslund, Marie Connolly, Nathan Deutscher, Anne C. Gielen, Yvonne Giesing, Yajna Govind, Martin Halla, Dominik Hangartner, Yuyan Jiang, Cecilia Karmel, Fanny Landaud, Lindsey Macmillan, Isabel C. Martínez, Alberto Polo, Panu Poutvaara, Hillel Rapoport, Sarah Roman, Kjell G. Salvanes, Shmuel San, Michael Siegenthaler, Louis Sirugue, Javier Soria Espín, Jan Stuhler, Giovanni L. Violante, Dinand Webbink, Andrea Weber, Jonathan Zhang, Angela Zheng, Tom Zohar, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-11, March 2025)
• Pre-Survey Messaging to Improve Response: Appeals to Authority, Self-Interest, and Salience (Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, Andrew Dillon, and Steven Glazerman, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-12, March 2025)
• On the Economic Infeasibility of Personalized Medicine, and a Solution. (Marciano Siniscalchi, Marina Chiara Garassino, Kunle Odunsi, and Pietro Veronesi, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33539, March 2025)
• Testing Conditional Stochastic Dominance at Target Points (Federico Bugni, Ivan Canay, and Deborah Kim, working paper, March 2025)
• The Macroeconomics of Tariff Shocks (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, and Ludwig Straub, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33726, April 2025)
• Climate Pledges and Greenwashing: Information Provision Does Not Work (Chiara Sotis, Vittoria Battocletti, Alfredo Desiato, Alessandro Romano, and Tobias Tröger, SAFE Working Paper Series no. 447, April 2025)
• Incentivizing Higher Education Outcomes – The Next Frontier of Pay-for-Performance (Burton Weisbrod, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-14, March 2025)
• Personalized Drug Discovery Process (PDDP): An AI-driven, Sustainable, and Equitable Solution for Cancer Drug Discovery (Marciano Siniscalchi, Pietro Veronesi, Adekunle Odunsi, and Marina Chiara Garassino, Cancer Research vol. 85, no. 8, supplement 1, April 2025)
• Substitution Bias and Fixed-Weight Price Indices in Time-Dependent Pricing Models (Lawrence Christiano, Martin Eichenbaum, and Benjamin K. Johannsen, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33665, April 2025)
• Inference for Cluster Randomized Experiments with Nonignorable Cluster Sizes (Federico Bugni, Ivan Canay, Azeem M. Shaikh, and Max Tabord-Meehan, Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics vol. 3, no. 2, April 2025)

• Quotas in General Equilibrium (Kunal Sangani and David Baqaee, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33695, April 2025)

• Practical Stabilization Policy in the Twenty-First Century (Martin Eichenbaum, AEA Papers and Proceedings vol. 115, May 2025)
• Are Some Firms Better for Women's Careers? (Garima Sharma, Shreya Tandon, Lisa Ho, Pulak Ghosh, and Stephanie Hao, AEA Papers and Proceedings vol. 115, May 2025)
• Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, and Ludwig Straub, Annual Review of Economics, vol. 17, May 2025)
• Understanding Canada's Productivity Problem / Comprendre le Problème de la Productivité au Canada (Martin Eichenbaum, Michelle Alexopoulos, and Michael Veall, Canadian Public Policy vol. 51, no. S1, May 2025)
• Constituent-Representative Interaction Outside of Elections: Theory and Evidence from the Early U.K. Women’s Rights Movement (Walker Hanlon and Grant Goehring, working paper, May 2025)
• Bootstrap Based Asymptotic Refinements for High-dimensional Nonlinear Models (Joel Horowitz and
  Ahnaf Rafi, Journal of Econometrics vol. 249, part B, May 2025)
• Evolving Roles of Higher Education in the U.S. Economy: Historical Context for Viewing Changes in Federal Policy and College Performance Goals (Burton Weisbrod and Glen Weisbrod, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series no. 25-20, May 2025)
• Bootstrap Based Asymptotic Refinements for High-dimensional Nonlinear Models (Joel Horowitz and Ahnaf Rafi, Journal of Econometrics, vol. 249, part B, May 2025)
• Assessing the Estimands and Estimates of Hospitalization Rates in Health Economics and Clinical Medicine (Charles Manski, Aditya Jain, Gil Peled, Filip Obradovic, Federico Crippa, Yeshaya Nussbaum, Michael Gmeiner, and Daniela Ladner, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33768, May 2025)
• Universal Pre-K as Economic Stimulus: Evidence from Nine States and Large Cities in the U.S. (Kirabo Jackson, Julia A. Turner, and Jacob Bastian, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33767, May 2025)
• Complete Pass-Through in Levels (Kunal Sangani, Kilts Center at Chicago Booth Marketing Data Center Paper no. 1, May 2025)
• Adversarial Coordination and Public Information Design (Alessandro Pavan and Nicolas Inostroza, Theoretical Economics vol. 20, no. 2, May 2025)
• Estimating Impact with Surveys Versus Digital Traces: Evidence from Randomized Cash Transfers in Togo (Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, Emily Aiken, Suzanne Bellue, and Joshua E. Blumenstock, Journal of Development Economics vol. 175, June 2025)
• Trauma at School: The Impacts of Shootings on Students’ Human Capital and Economic Outcomes (Molly Schnell, Marika Cabral, Bokyung Kim, Maya Rossin-Slater, and Hannes Schwandt, The Review of Economic Studies, June 2025)
• The Rise of Deliberative Prosociality (Chiara Sotis, Francesco Margoni, Francesco Nava, Matthew R Levy, Valerio Capraro, and Elena Nava, working paper, June 2025)
• The Political Economy of Stimulus Transfers (Silvia Vannutelli, NBER Working Paper Series no. 33973, June 2025)
• Inattentive Economies (George-Marios Angeletos and Karthik A. Sastry, Journal of Political Economy vol. 133, no. 7, July 2025)
• Keeping the Agents in the Dark: Competing Mechanisms, Private Disclosures, and the Revelation Principle (Alessandro Pavan, Andrea Attar, Eloisa Campioni, and Thomas Mariotti, CEPR Discussion Paper Series no. 20450, July 2025)
• Fiduciary Duty and the Market for Financial Advice (Vivek Bhattacharya, Gastón Illanes, and Manisha Padi, Econometrica vol. 93, no. 4, July 2025)
• Binary Classification with the Maximum Score Model and Linear Programming (Joel Horowitz and Sokbae Lee, working paper, July 2025)
• Governance Matters: School Autonomy, Leadership, Heterogeneity, and Student Outcomes (Kirabo Jackson, working paper, July 2025)
• Green Business Cycles (Diego Känzig, Maximilian Konradt, Lixing Wang, and Donghai Zhang, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34041, July 2025)
• The Macroeconomic Effects of Supply Chain Shocks: Evidence from Global Shipping Disruptions (Diego Känzig and Ramya Raghavan, working paper, July 2025)
• Statistical Decision Theory: Using a 1940s Idea to Fix a Problem in 21st Century AI (Charles Manski and Jeff Dominitz, Change vol. 38, no. 2, July 2025)
• The Role of Industrial Policy in the Renewable Energy Sector (Mar Reguant, Todd D. Gerarden, and Daniel Xu, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34079, July 2025)
• Determinacy and Large-Scale Solutions in the Sequence Space (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, Evan Majic, and Ludwig Straub, working paper, July 2025)
• Revealed Beliefs and the Marriage Market Return to Education (Abi Adams and Alison Andrew, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 140, no. 3, August 2025)
• Comparing the Cost of Cirrhosis to Other Common Chronic Diseases: A Longitudinal Study in a Large National Insurance Database (Charles Manski, Filip Obradović, Dominic J. Vitello, Bima J. Hasjim, Joy Obayemi, Praneet Polineni, Michael Gmeiner, Eleena Koep, Aditya Jain, Federico Crippa, Andrés Duarte-Rojo, Vinayak S. Rohan, Laura Kulik, Julianna M. Doll, Therese Banea, Gwen E. McNatt, Lihui Zhao, Lisa B. VanWagner, Daniela P. Ladner, Hepatology vol. 82, no. 2, August 2025)
• Incentive Separability (Piotr Dworczak, Paweł Doligalski, Joanna Krysta, and Filip Tokarski, Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics vol. 3, no. 3, August 2025)
• Carbon Pricing and Inequality: A Normative Perspective (Diego Känzig, Saki Bigio, Pablo Sánchez, and Conor Walsh, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34125, August 2025) 
• The Rise of the Engineer: Inventing the Professional Inventor During the Industrial Revolution (Walker Hanlon, The Economic Journal, vol. 135, no. 670, August 2025) 
• Using Machine Learning to Generate, Clarify, and Improve Economic Models (Annie Liang, working paper, 2025)
• Hospitalization Patterns and In-Hospital Resource Utilization in Liver Cirrhosis and Association with Socioeconomic Deprivation (Charles Manski, Paola A. Barrios, Gil Peled, Aditya Jain, Saad Hussain, Oriana Dentici, Laura Kulik, Lisa B. VanWagner, Nikhilesh Mazumder, Andres Duarte-Rojo, and Daniela Ladner, American Journal of Transplantation vol. 25, no. 8, supplement 1, August 2025)
• Culture and Social Organizations in the Great Reversal: Europe and China, 1000-2000 (Joel Mokyr, Avner Greif, and Guido Tabellini, CEPR Discussion Paper Series no. 20514, August 2025)
• Dynamic Contracting (Alessandro Pavan, working paper, August 2025)
• Mechanism Design for Acquisition of/Stochastic Evidence (Eddie Dekel, Elchanan Ben Porath, and Barton Lipman, forthcoming in Theoretical Economics, August 2025) 
• Demand-driven Inflation (Giorgio Primiceri and Domenico Giannone, working paper, August 2025) 
• The Distributional Impacts of Time-Varying Electricity Pricing: A Novel Approach to Estimating Household Income (Mar Reguant, Natalia Fabra, and Jingyuan Wang, working paper, August 2025)
• Homothetic Non-CES Demand Systems with Applications to Monopolistic Competition (Kiminori Matsuyama, Annual Review of Economics vol. 17, August 2025)
• The Econometrics of Family Trees: A Cookbook (Joseph Ferrie, José-Antonio Espín-Sánchez, and Chris Vickers, working paper, September 2025)
• When Decentralization Works: Leadership, Local Needs, and Student Achievement (Kirabo Jackson, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34216, September 2025) 
• Friend or Foe: Delegating to an AI Whose Alignment is Unknown (Annie Liang and Drew Fudenberg, working paper, September 2025)
• Can Reminder Emails Compel Americans to Save? A Two-million-person Megastudy (Dean Karlan, Katherine L Milkman, Sean F Ellis, Dena M Gromet, Isabella M DeMay, Heather N Graci, Youngwoo Jung, Rayyan S Mobarak, Ramon A Silvera Zumaran, Mia N Simmons, Christophe Van den Bulte, Shlomo Benartzi, Matthew Hilchey, Laura Goodyear, Nina Mazar, Daniel Mochon, Avni M Shah, Dilip Soman, Jonathan Zinman, and Angela L Duckworth, PNAS Nexus, vol. 4, no. 9, September 2025)
• How School Shootings Impact Students’ Mental Health (Molly Schnell, Hannes Schwandt, and Max Pienkny, Institute for Policy Research brief, September 2025) 
• A Decision Theoretic Perspective on Artificial Superintelligence: Coping with Missing Data Problems in Prediction and Treatment Choice (Charles Manski and Jeff Dominitz, working paper, September 2025)
• Utilitarian or Quantile-Welfare Evaluation of Health Policy? (Charles Manski and John Mullahy, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34247, September 2025)
• Smart Power Limits: Designing Shortage Mechanisms for Extreme Events (Mar Reguant and Mayra Wagner, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34196, September 2025) 
• Taxation Principle with Moral Hazard (Bruno Strulovici and Francisco Poggi, working paper, September 2025) 
• Group versus Individual Coaching for Rural Social Protection Programs: Evidence from Uganda, Philippines, and Bangladesh (Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, Emily A. Beam, Lasse Brune, Narayan Das, Stefan Dercon, Nathanael Goldberg, Rozina Haque, Maliha Khan, Doug Parkerson, Ashley Pople, Yasuyuki Sawada, and Rocco Zizzamia, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34309, October 2025) 
• Using Total Margin of Error to Account for Non-Sampling Error in Election Polls (Charles Manski and Jeff Dominitz, Journal of the American Statistical Association, October 2025) 
• Robust Procurement Design (Alessandro Pavan, Debasis Mishra, and Sanket Patil, working paper, October 2025) 
• Investment Subsidies with Spillovers and Endogenous Private Information: Why Pigou Got it All Right (Alessandro Pavan, Luca Colombo, and Gianluca Femminis, working paper, October 2025)
• The Marshall Plan: Then and Now (Joel Mokyr and Davis Kedrosky, World Bank Group Policy Research Working Paper 11230, October 2025)
• Five-Year Impacts of Group-Based Financial Education and Savings Promotion for Ugandan Youth (Dean Karlan, Samantha Horn, Julian C. Jamison, and Jonathan Zinman, forthcoming in The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 108, no. 1, October 2025) 
• The Race between Asset Supply and Asset Demand (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, Hannes Malmberg, and Ludwig Straub, CEPR Discussion Paper Series no. 20813, November 2025) 
• Unraveling the Drivers of Energy-saving Technical Change (Diego Känzig and Charles T. Williamson, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34511, November 2025) 
• Give Me a Pass: Flexible Credit for Entrepreneurs in Colombia (Dean Karlan, Lasse Brune, and Xavier Giné, NBER Working Paper Series no. 30634, November 2025) 
• Social Protection and Social Distancing During the Pandemic: Mobile Money Transfers in Ghana (Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, Matt Lowe, Robert Osei, Isaac Osei-Akoto, and Benjamin N. Roth, forthcoming in the Journal of Development Economics, vol. 179, November 2025) 
• Joint Child Custody and Interstate Migration (Abi Adams, Oğuz Bayraktar, Thomas H. Jørgensen, Hamish Low, and Alessandra Voena, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34571, December 2025)
• From RANK to HANK, without FIRE (George-Marios Angeletos, Joao Guerreiro, and Dalton Rongxuan Zhang,
  NBER Working Paper Series no. 34596, December 2025)
• Incentive-compatible Information Design (Jeffrey Ely and Hershdeep Chopra, December 2025) 
• Interim Information Design (Jeffrey Ely and Hershdeep Chopra, December 2025) 
• The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence from US Historical Data (Diego Känzig and Tamar den Besten, December 2025)
• Profits and Social Impacts: Complements vs. Tradeoffs for Lenders in Three Countries (Dean Karlan, Bruno Fava, Susan Athey, Adam Osman, and Jonathan Zinman, December 2025)
• Limit Regret in Binary Treatment Choice with Misspecified Plug-In Predictors and Decision Thresholds (Charles Manski and Jeff Dominitz, December 2025)
• Replacement and Reputation (Harry Pei, Navin Kartik, and Elliot Lipnowski, December 2025)
• New Keynesian Economics with Household and Firm Heterogeneity (Matthew Rognlie, Thomas Winberry, Adrien Auclert, and Ludwig Straub, NBER Working Paper Series no. 34611, December 2025)
• Testing Homogeneity in Dynamic Discrete Games in Finite Samples (Federico Bugni, Jackson Bunting, and Takuya Ura, Quantitative Economics vol. 16, no. 4, December 2025)
• Five-year Impacts of Group-based Financial Education and Savings Promotion for Ugandan Youth (Dean Karlan, Samantha Horm, Julian C. Jamison, and Jonathan Zinman, Quantitative Economics vol. 16, no. 4, December 2025)
• Politician Profits in Turbulent Times: Evidence from MP Returns During Britain’s Return to the Gold Standard (Walker Hanlon and Pamfili Antipa, December 2025)
• Cheapflation Cycles (Kunal Sangani, December 2025)

2024

• An Economic Framework for Vaccine Prioritization (Piotr Dworczak, Mohammad Akbarpour, Eric Budish, and Scott Duke Kominers, Quarterly Journal of Economics vol. 139, no. 1, February 2024)
• Optimal Long-term Health Insurance Contracts: Characterization, Computation, and Welfare Effects (Igal Hendel, Soheil Ghili, Ben Handel, and Michael D. Whinston, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 91, no. 2, March 2024)
• The Supply-side Effects of Monetary Policy (Kunal Sangani, David R. Baqaee, and Emmanuel Farhi, Journal of Political Economy vol. 132, no. 4, April 2024) 
• Redistributive Allocation Mechanisms (Piotr Dworczak, Mohammad Akbarpour, and Scott Duke Kominers, Journal of Political Economy vol. 132, no. 6, June 2024)
• Expectations, Infections, and Economic Activity (Martin Eichenbaum, Miguel Godinho de Matos, Francisco Lima, Sergio Rebelo, and Mathias Trabandt, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 132, no. 7, July 2024) 
• On the Use of Outcome Tests for Detecting Bias in Decision Making (Ivan Canay, Magne Mogstad, and Jack Mountjoy, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 91, no. 4, July 2024)
• When Less Is More: Experimental Evidence on Information Delivery During India’s Demonetisation (Benjamin Golub, Abhijit Banerjee, Emily Breza, and Arun G. Chandrasekhar, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 91, no. 4, July 2024)

• Big Loans to Small Businesses: Predicting Winners and Losers in an Entrepreneurial Lending Experiment (Dean Karlan, Gharad Bryan, and Adam Osman, American Economic Review vol. 114, no. 9, September 2024)

• Can Deficits Finance Themselves? (George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian, and Christian K. Wolf, Econometrica vol. 92, no. 5, September 2024)

• Drivers of Racial Differences in C-sections (Molly Schnell, Adriana Corredor-Waldron, and Janet Currie, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series WP-24-24, September 2024)

• The Intertemporal Keynesian Cross (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, and Ludwig Straub, Journal of Political Economy vol. 132, no. 10, October 2024)

• Mobility for All: Representative Intergenerational Mobility Estimates over the 20th Century (Elisa Jácome, Ilyana Kuziemko, and Suresh Naidu, Journal of Political Economy vol. 132, no. 10, October 2024)

• Mobilizing the Manpower of Mothers: Childcare Under the Lanham Act During WWII (Joseph Ferrie, Claudia Goldin, and Claudia Olivetti, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series WP-24-19, October 2024)

• Reputation Effects under Short Memories (Harry Pei, Journal of Political Economy vol. 132, no. 10, October 2024)

• Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error (Charles Manski and Jeff Dominitz, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series WP-24-22, November 2024)
• A Technology-gap Model of 'Premature' Deindustrialization (Kiminori Matsuyama and Ippei Fujiwara, American Economic Review vol. 114, no. 11, November 2024)
• Unconditional Cash Transfers: A Bayesian Meta-analysis of Randomized Evaluations in Low- and Middle-income Countries (Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, Tommaso Crosta, Finley Ong, and Julius Rüschenpöhler, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series WP-24-21, November 2024)

• Law-abiding Immigrants: The Incarceration Gap between Immigrants and the US-born, 1870-2020 (Elisa Jácome, Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan, Santiago Pérez, and Juan David Torres, American Economic Review: Insights vol. 6, no. 4, December 2024)

2023

• Permutation-based Tests for Discontinuities in Event Studies (Federico Bugni, Jia Li, and Qiyuan Li, Quantitative Economics vol. 14, no. 1, January 2023)
• The Effects of Competition on Physician Prescribing (Molly Schnell, Anran Li, and Janet Currie, Institute for Policy Research Working Paper Series WP-23-03, February 2023)
• Reputation Building under Observational Learning (Harry Pei, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 90 no. 3, May 2023)
• Culture and the Historical Fertility Transition (W. Walker Hanlon and Brian Beach, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 90, no. 4, July 2023)
• The Expansionary and Contractionary Supply-side Effects of Health Insurance (Molly Schnell and Eilidh Geddes, working paper in National Bureau of Economic Research, July 2023)
• Wealth Dynamics in Communities (Yingni Guo, Daniel Barron, and Bryony Reich, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 90, no. 4, July 2023)
• The Investment Effects of Market Integration: Evidence from Renewable Energy Expansion in Chile (Mar Reguant, Luis E. Gonzales, and Koichiro Ito, Econometrica vol. 91, no. 5, September 2023)
• Selection into Credit Markets: Evidence from Agriculture in Mali (Lori Beaman, Dean Karlan, Christopher Udry, and Bram Thuysbaert, Econometrica vol. 91, no. 5, September 2023)
• Learning from Neighbours about a Changing State (Benjamin Golub, Krishna Dasaratha, and Nir Hak, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 90, no. 5, October 2023)
• Optimal Feedback in Contests (Jeffrey Ely, George Georgiadis, Sina Khorasani, and Luis Rayo, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 90, no. 5, October 2023)
• Public Debt as Private Liquidity: Optimal Policy (George-Marios Angeletos, Fabrice Collard, and Harris Dellas, Journal of Political Economy vol. 131, no. 11, November 2023)

2022

• Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information (Annie Liang, Xiaosheng Mu, and Vasilis Syrgkanis, Econometrica vol. 90, no. 1, January 2022)

• Agricultural Technology in Africa (Christopher Udry and Tavneet Suri, Journal of Economic Perspectives vol. 36, no. 1, February 2022)
• State-dependent Effects of Monetary Policy: The Refinancing Channel (Martin Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, and Arlene Wong, American Economic Review vol. 112, no. 3, March 2022)
• Measuring the Completeness of Economics Models (Annie Liang, Drew Fudenberg, Jon Kleinberg, and Sendhil Mullainathan, Journal of Political Economy vol. 130, no. 4, April 2022) 
• Bidding and Drilling under Uncertainty: An Empirical Analysis of Contingent Payment Auctions (Vivek Bhattacharya, Andrey Ordin, and James W. Roberts, Journal of Political Economy vol. 130, no. 5, May 2022)
• Testing for Differences in Stochastic Network Structure (Eric Auerbach, Econometrica vol. 90, no. 3, May 2022)
• Wall Street and Silicon Valley: A Delicate Interaction (Alessandro Pavan, George-Marios Angeletos, and Guido Lorenzoni, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 90, no. 3, July 2022)
• Supply Network Formation and Fragility (Benjamin Golub, Matthew Elliott, and Matthew V. Leduc, American Economic Review vol. 112, no. 8, August 2022)
• Preparing for the Worst but Hoping for the Best: Robust (Bayesian) Persuasion (Piotr Dworczak and Alessandro Pavan, Econometrica vol. 90, no. 5, September 2022)
• Structural Rationality in Dynamic Games (Marciano Siniscalchi, Econometrica vol. 90, no. 5, October 2022)

2021

• Heterogeneity, Measurement Error, and Misallocation: Evidence from African Agriculture (Christopher Udry and Douglas Gollin, The Journal of Political Economy vol. 129, no. 1, January 2021)
• Monetary Policy and the Predictability of Nominal Exchange Rates (Martin Eichenbaum, B.K. Johannsen, and S.T. Rebelo, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 88, no. 1, January 2021)
• Structural Change with Long‐run Income and Price Effects (Martí Mestieri, Diego Comin and Danial Lashkari, Econometrica vol. 89, no. 1, January 2021)
• The Use and Misuse of Coordinated Punishments (Yingni Guo and Daniel Barron, The Quarterly Journal of Economics vol. 136, no. 1, February 2021)
• On the Iterated Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Games (Federico Bugni and Jackson Bunting, The Review of Economic Studies vol. 88, no. 3, May 2021)
• Taxation Under Learning-by-doing (Alessandro Pavan and Miltos Makris, The Journal of Political Economy vol. 129, no. 6, June 2021)
• Redistribution Through Markets (Piotr Dworczak, Scott Duke Kominers, and Mohammad Akbarpour, Econometrica vol. 89, no. 4, July 2021)
• Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity (Giorgio Primiceri, Domenico Giannone, and Michele Lenza, Econometrica vol. 89, no. 5, September 2021)
• An Empirical Model of R&D Procurement Contests: An Analysis of the DOD SBIR Program (Vivek Bhattacharya, Econometrica vol. 89, no. 5, September 2021)
• Using the Sequence-space Jacobian to Solve and Estimate Heterogeneous-agent Models (Matthew Rognlie, Adrien Auclert, Bence Bardóczy, and Ludwig Straub, Econometrica vol. 89, no. 5, September 2021)

• Econometrics for Decision Making: Building Foundations Sketched by Haavelmo and Wald (Charles Manski, Econometrica vol. 89, no. 6, November 2021)

• The Mortgage Rate Conundrum (Giorgio Primiceri, Alejandro Justiniano, and Andrea Tambalotti, Journal of Political Economy vol. 129, no. 12, December 2021)

2020

• Mechanism Design With Aftermarkets: Cutoff Mechanisms (Piotr Dworczak, Econometrica vol. 88, no. 6, November 2020)
• Sequential Information Design (Jeffery Ely and Laura Doval,  Econometrica vol. 88, no. 6, November 2020)
• Targeting Interventions in Networks (Benjamin Golub, Andrea Galeotti, Sanjeev Goyal, Econometrica vol. 88, no. 6, November 2020)